There is a place for roulette betting progression, but not in the way that most players use it. Betting progression is when you vary the bet size after either win or loss.
This is when you decrease bet size after losses. You can use negative progression so you stay at the table longer. But it wont increase your chances of losing because it only decreases the rate at which you lose.
Positive progression is the most popular form, because it involves increasing the bet size, and most players believe that wins will cover their losses. This is partially true because if you get lucky with a larger bet, you can recover losses. But essentially all increasing bet size does is increase the amount you wager. So you can either be lucky and win big, or unlucky to lose big.
When is betting progression a good thing?
Positive progression can are often used to recover losses if you first have an edge. But you need to be sure about your edge, which means you should have a strong mechanism or analysis method for determining whether or not you have an edge.
Say for example you are using a roulette computer and your peak has high clear bars where you are betting, and you are having a lot of near-misses where the ball lands very close to the numbers you bet on.
This is a common situation, so I don’t advise betting too few numbers. The roulette computer should give you an analysis to tell you exactly how many numbers you should bet on for optimal profits.
One solution may be to widen your betting arc. This will greatly reduce the chance of having many near misses.
Another solution is to increase your bet size, which is generally safe from a betting perspective because you already clearly have an edge.
But the best solution would be to ensure your betting at is apt the optimal level, while increasing bet size. This gives you the best of both worlds.
Another important factor is you need to be out of the casino with your profits as soon as possible. In particularly when it comes to using a roulette computer or visual ballistics, the last thing you want is to be betting on hundreds of spins with small bets. It is not so much the size of your bets or winnings that gives you away, it is mostly your style of play. And if you are constantly winning over hundreds of spins, this gives the casino ample data to analyse to determine if your behaviour is consistent with roulette computer or visual ballistics play.
For this reason, it is not uncommon for a roulette computer user to play only five spins before leaving. Chances are that at least one of these spins will win, and it may only be about $300 or so profit, but at least the player can do it many times without arousing any suspicion.
Putting this into the context of progression, a roulette computer player may first calibrate the device over 30 to 60 spins, so that full accuracy is achieved. After confirming the accuracy is optimal, they can now safely bet high over the next few spins. They may have determined that if they bet on 15 numbers, they will win on around 90% of spins. I’m using this example because these are the results achieved in the recorded public demonstration video on my website. So in this case, the first bet covering 15 numbers is likely going to be a win. If it isn’t, then the player could double their bet. If they lose again, they could triple debit. The chances of losing in all three spins is a very low. This is the only way the progression can be used to increase the chances of winning, while keeping a low profile in the casino environment.
Also to clarify an issue, you would not necessarily “need” to bet 15 numbers. You may need to bet only 1 number. I’m using the example of 15 numbers because in the recorded public demo, 15 numbers was the “optimal” amount of numbers to cover.